General

  • black death killed 30-40% of European population
  • wealth per capita was about the same all before 1800
    • many cavemen had better lives than 1800s workers
    • e.g. diet, work hours
  • Austria and Portugal have highest Celibacy Rates
  • agricultural innovations before 1800
    • horseshoe and better harnesses
    • better ploughs & crop rotations
    • fertilizers (animal based)
    • keeping animals in barns
    • production of milk/leather/wool closer to cities

Slow Growth Before 1800

  • serfdom
    • no labor or land markets
    • no competition between land lords
    • no specialization or urbanization
  • other market-unfriendly institutions
    • open fields
    • no interest allowed
    • monopolies, corruption, subsidies
    • guilds (i.e. local cartels)
  • local → little trade
  • inefficient and poor → unproductive agriculture
  • badly organized → no knowledge accumulation/innovation
  • zero-sum mentality → merchants unpopular, no saving/investing

Great Divergence

  • about 1800 with the industrial revolution
  • income divergence
  • diminishing returns of efficiency gain

Malthusian Theory or Trap

  • any technological advance was lost due to population increase
    • linear food production function
    • exponential food consumption function
  • life expectancy: 30-45 years
  • birth/death rates (BR/DR) are dependent of living standards (LS)
    • better LS → higher BR → higher pop → lower LS → higher DR → lower pop →
    • equilibrium reached around same LS, with higher population
    • preventive check: limit birth rate to live longer (raise LS)
    • also applicable to wolf/deer population in a forest

Adam Smith

  • underdevelopment = lack of division of labor, capital
    • → lack of integrated markets
  • specialization = higher skill levels
    • only if sustained by high demand
    • falls in demand can reverse specialization
  • specialization has barriers (laborers die)
    • can be extended by education/skill sharing
  • investments into new tools/innovations highly lucrative
    • e.g. dutch windmill evolution