General
- black death killed 30-40% of European population
- wealth per capita was about the same all before 1800
- many cavemen had better lives than 1800s workers
- e.g. diet, work hours
- Austria and Portugal have highest Celibacy Rates
- agricultural innovations before 1800
- horseshoe and better harnesses
- better ploughs & crop rotations
- fertilizers (animal based)
- keeping animals in barns
- production of milk/leather/wool closer to cities
Slow Growth Before 1800
- serfdom
- no labor or land markets
- no competition between land lords
- no specialization or urbanization
- other market-unfriendly institutions
- open fields
- no interest allowed
- monopolies, corruption, subsidies
- guilds (i.e. local cartels)
- local â little trade
- inefficient and poor â unproductive agriculture
- badly organized â no knowledge accumulation/innovation
- zero-sum mentality â merchants unpopular, no saving/investing
Great Divergence
- about 1800 with the industrial revolution
- income divergence
- diminishing returns of efficiency gain
Malthusian Theory or Trap
- any technological advance was lost due to population increase
- linear food production function
- exponential food consumption function
- life expectancy: 30-45 years
- birth/death rates (BR/DR) are dependent of living standards (LS)
- better LS â higher BR â higher pop â lower LS â higher DR â lower pop â â
- equilibrium reached around same LS, with higher population
- preventive check: limit birth rate to live longer (raise LS)
- also applicable to wolf/deer population in a forest
Adam Smith
- underdevelopment = lack of division of labor, capital
- â lack of integrated markets
- specialization = higher skill levels
- only if sustained by high demand
- falls in demand can reverse specialization
- specialization has barriers (laborers die)
- can be extended by education/skill sharing
- investments into new tools/innovations highly lucrative
- e.g. dutch windmill evolution